United States presidential election, 2012 (Ferguson Scenario)

Results by state

States/districts won by Portman/Baker

States/districts won by Brown/Buttigieg

		Robert J. Portman Republican			Sherrod Brown Democratic			Jo Jorgensen Libertarian			Rocky de la Fuenta American Delta			Howie Hawkins Green			Kinky Friedman American			Gloria La Riva Peace and Freedom			Margin		State Total
State	electoral votes	#	%	electoral votes	#	%	electoral votes	#	%	electoral votes	#	%	electoral votes	#	%	electoral votes	#	%	electoral votes	#	%	electoral votes	#	%	#
Alabama	9		48.49	-		51.33	9	-	-	-	-	-	-		-	-		0.18	-	-	-	-				AL
Alaska	3		68.92	-		29.80	3		1.12	-	-	0.16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				AK
Arizona	11		55.61	11		44.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				AZ
Arkansas	6		45.82	-		52.46	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-		1.72	-	-	-	-				AR
California	55		66.20	55		24.28	-		6.79	-	-	-	-		2.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				CA
Colorado	9		59.32	9		35.93	-		2.75	-		1.03	-		0.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				CO
Connecticut	7		62.72	7		33.03	-		2.83	-		0.53	-		0.48	-	-	-	-		0.41	-				CT
Delaware	3	280,971	55.71	3	212,178	42.07	-	5,245	1.04	-	504	0.10	-	5,448	1.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	68,793	13.64	504,346	DE
D.C.	3		58.13	-		34.62	3		7.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				DC
Florida	29	6,289,635	56.83	29	4,440,263	40.12	-	175,973	1.59	-	-	-	-	161,585	1.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1,849,372	16.71	11,067,456	FL
Georgia	16	2,167,342	43.36	-	2,827,141	56.56	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2,499	0.05	-	1,500	0.03	-	-659,799	-13.20	4,998,482	GA
Hawaii	4		61.54	-		23.60	4		14.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				HI
Idaho	4		65.60	4		34.34	-		0.03	-	-	-	-		0.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				ID
Illinois	20		67.81	20		25.51	-		3.57	-		2.37	-		0.54	-	-	-	-		0.17	-				IL
Indiana	11		55.14	11		40.49	-		1.96	-		1.31	-		1.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				IN
Iowa	6		70.91	6		25.46	-		1.90	-		1.15	-		0.47	-	-	-	-		0.11	-				IA
Kansas	6		64.75	6		32.52	-		2.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				KS
Kentucky	8	1,160,265	54.30	8	966,033	45.21	-	5,342	0.25	-	-	-	-	4,274	0.20	-	-	-	-	854	0.03	-	194,232	9.09	2,136,768	KY
Louisiana	8	1,144,487	53.28	8	848,699	39.51	-	154,876	7.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	295,788	13.77	2,148,062	LA
Maine	4		72.03	4		21.83	-		5.92	-	-	-	-		1.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				ME
Maryland	10		55.11	10		42.16	-		2.07	-		0.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-		0.27	-				MD
Massachusetts	11		68.55	11		27.84	-		3.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-		0.36	-				MA
Michigan	16		72.76	16		22.27	-		2.76	-		1.00	-		0.92	-	-	-	-		0.24	-				MI
Minnesota	10		70.59	10		19.43	-		7.62	-	-	-	-		1.56	-	-	-	-		0.79	-				MN
Mississippi	6		24.46	-		58.23	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-		17.31	-	-	-	-				MS
Missouri	10		54.56	10		43.13	-		1.52	-		0.25	-		0.39	-	-	-	-		0.16	-				MO
Montana	3		61.13	3		32.05	-	-	-	-		6.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				MT
Nebraska	5		64.66	5		31.25	-		2.51	-	-	-	-		1.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				NE
Nevada	6		56.92	6		36.22	-		6.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				NV
New Hampshire	4		59.84	4		39.39	-		0.78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				NH
New Jersey	14		67.65	14		28.42	-		3.00	-		0.24	-		0.52	-	-	-	-		0.10	-				NJ
New Mexico	5		54.68	5		44.27	-	-	-	-		1.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				NM
New York	29		64.56	29		26.95	-		7.01	-		0.64	-		0.68	-	-	-	-		0.17	-				NY
North Carolina	15		54.94	15		45.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				NC
North Dakota	3	281,459	77.79	3	65,815	18.19	-	14,545	4.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	215,644	59.60	361,819	ND
Ohio	18		58.47	18		38.58	-		2.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				OH
Oklahoma	7	782,066	50.11	7	696,228	44.61	-	82,405	5.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	85,838	5.50	1,560,699	OK
Oregon	7		60.20	7		33.55	-		4.11	-	-	-	-		1.51	-	-	-	-		0.64	-				OR
Pennsylvania	20		65.76	20		27.20	-		3.81	-		0.85	-		2.30	-	-	-	-		0.04	-				PA
Rhode Island	4		63.97	4		32.78	-		2.59	-	-	-	-		0.30	-	-	-	-		0.29	-				RI
South Carolina	9	1,238,066	49.26	-	1,248,873	49.69	9	8,797	0.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	17,593	0.30	-	-	-	-	-10,807	-0.43	2,513,329	SC
South Dakota	3	256,693	60.74	3	83,338	19.72	-	-	-	-	80,465	19.04	-	2,113	0.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	173,355	41.02	422,609	SD
Tennessee	11		51.29	11		48.19	-		0.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				TN
Texas	38		51.77	38		36.70	-		1.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-		9.86	-	-	-	-				TX
Utah	6		55.93	6		38.84	-		2.17	-		3.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				UT
Vermont	3	281,268	75.82	3	86,250	23.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3,450	0.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	195,018	52.57	370,968	VT
Virginia	13	2,404,668	53.91	13	2,047,381	45.90	-	3,568	0.08	-		-	-	2,676	0.06	-	-	-	-	2,231	0.06	-	357,287	8.01	4,460,524	VA
Washington	12		55.96	12		21.14	-		2.24	-		19.37	-		0.95	-	-	-	-		0.33	-				WA
West Virginia	5		55.30	5		43.30	-		1.10	-	-	-	-		0.30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				WV
Wisconsin	10		71.10	10		16.17	-		11.50	-	-	-	-		1.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-				WI
Wyoming	3	177,545	64.15	3	88,177	31.86	-	-	-	-	11,043	3.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	89,368	32.29	276,765	WY
TOTALS:	538		60.32	492		34.15	46		3.41	-		0.99	-	188,787	0.71	-		0.18	-		0.12	-				US

Close states

Margin of victory less than 1% (13 electoral votes):

1. Kentucky, 0.44%

Margin of victory less than 5% (12 electoral votes):

1. Tennessee, 3.10%

Margin of victory between 5% and 10% (10 electoral votes):

1. Oklahoma, 5.50%

Tipping point state:

1. Rhode Island, 31.19%