United States presidential election in Arizona, 2016 (Ferguson Scenario)



The 2016 United States presidential election in Arizona was won by Henry T. Ferguson on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Democratic Party's nominee, incumbent President Henry T. Ferguson and running mate Vice-President Amy Klobuchar, against the Republican Party's nominee, Alabama Senator William H. Pryor, Jr. and his running mate, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan.

Ferguson carried Arizona with 59.47% of the popular vote, versus 40.53% for Pryor, beating Pryor in the state by an 18.94% margin. He won all but one of Arizona's counties-Graham County, which has not voted Democratic since Lyndon B. Johnson won it in the 1964 presidential election. Ferguson became the first Democrat to carry Mohave County since Johnson did so in 1964, and the first to carry Yavapai County since Harry S. Truman in 1948.

He was also only the second Democrat since Truman, following Al Gore in 2004, to win Maricopa County, home to more than half of Arizona's population, and to its largest city of Phoenix. Ferguson received more than sixty percent of the vote in the state's second most populous county, Pima County, home to Tucson; in traditionally Democratic Greenlee County; and in Navajo County; and broke seventy percent in Coconino County (Flagstaff), heavily Hispanic Santa Cruz County, and heavily Native American Apache County.