United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2016 (New Johannson Scenario)



The 2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States Presidential Election. Tennessee voters chose sixteen electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, who selected the President and Vice President.

Tennessee was won by incumbent President Edward H. Johannson (R-Minnesota), running with Vice President Neel Kashkari, with 51.29% of the popular vote, against Governor John C. Dickenson (D-Georgia), running with Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster, with 48.19% of the popular vote. Johannson won Tennessee by a narrow margin of 3.10%, making it his closest win in the country that year.

Although Dickenson barely won a majority (48 to 47) of Tennessee's counties, Johannson was able to carry the state by performing exceptionally well in ancestrally Republican East Tennessee, by carrying the block of normally Republican rural counties along the state border with Mississippi, and by carrying three of the state's four most populous counties-Hamilton, Knox, Shelby, and Williamson-home to the cities of Chattanooga, Knoxville, Memphis, and Murfreesboro respectively, although he won Hamilton and Shelby with only pluralities.

Dickenson won Davidson County (Nashville), the state's second-most populous county and home to its capital city, and carried most of the traditionally Democratic rural counties in Central and Western Tennessee.

Tennessee weighed in as 19.20% more Republican than the national average.