Talk:The 2020 Election Results

Curious Notes: Pre-Election Countdown, November 2, 2020 (State by State):

Alabama (9 electoral votes): Alabama was one of Mitt Romney's best states in 2016, giving him 61.6% of the popular vote, and has only voted Democratic once since 1960 (for Jimmy Carter in 1976). However, Dickenson is receiving only muted support from Alabama Senator Richard Shelby, and his support for the privatization of the TVA and Social Security, his opposition to Medicaid expansion and rural development programs, and his controversial comments about criminal justice, which have galvanized African-Americans, have made this a close call. Polls are indicating that Holland is a slight favorite here.

Alaska (3 electoral votes): Dickenson's controversial statements about "unleashing polar bears on the Alaskan shores" and about Native Alaskans, his opposition to funding for Alaskan parks and wildlife preservation programs, and his strong bias against federal spending subsidies for the Alaskan Pipeline project have combined to destroy his chances here. Holland is leading in all polls by significant margins.

Arizona (11 electoral votes): Dickenson has upset everyone in the state. His unpopular views on Social Security, Medicare, and healthcare have ruined him among seniors and retirees; his controversial comments about illegal immigrants and his opposition to the recent border security bill have hurt him among Hispanics; and his opposition to federal spending and environmental programs have galvanized the liberal base. Arizona is now leaning towards Holland.

Arkansas (6 electoral votes): Not only is popular Democratic Governor Mike Beebe campaigning vigorously for Holland, but Dickenson's views on healthcare (particularly Medicaid expansion), on rural development programs, and on the TVA have hurt him badly. Holland is leading in all polls.

California (55 electoral votes): A heavily Democratic state, it would have already taken a miracle for Dickenson to have any chance here. Such as it is, his unorthodox and fiercely conservative social views, his unpopular positions on healthcare, federal spending, and economic regulation, and his controversial comments about racial minorities and gender have put him further in the hole. California is overwhelmingly for Holland, and polls indicate that the President will carry the state by a historic margin.

Colorado (9 electoral votes): Dickenson's brashness and impulsiveness with foreign policy have hurt him with military voters; his unpopular views on farming, rural development, and subsidy programs have damaged him significantly among farmers and ranchers; and his opposition to Medicaid expansion, Social Security, and healthcare have ruined him among suburban and urban voters. Moreover, he is having serious trouble with Hispanics. Holland is leading in all polls by huge margins.

Connecticut (7 electoral votes): Dickenson's views are severely out of step in this safely Democratic state. Connecticut is behind Holland.

Delaware (3 electoral votes): Same as in Connecticut. Delaware is moving forward with Holland.

District of Columbia (3 electoral votes): Dickenson is as dead here as any Republican. Solidly Holland.

Florida (29 electoral votes): Dickenson has upset every segment of the Florida electorate. His views on Social Security and Medicare, as in so many other states, have hurt him badly with seniors and retirees; his ppsitions on farm subsidies, Medicaid expansion, rural development programs, and economic regulations have greatly upset rural voters; his controversial comments on race, immigration, and criminal justice have infuriated blacks and Hispanics; and his unorthodox social views have angered suburbanites. Polls indicate that Holland has a commanding lead here.

Georgia (16 electoral votes): Dickenson's hopes here have turned out to be completely misguided. Blacks are united in opposition against him, rural voters oppose his positions on Medicaid expansion, farm subsidies, and rural development programs, and suburbanites are turned off by his social, healthcare, and economic stances. Georgia is leaning heavily towards Holland.

Hawaii (4 electoral votes): Dickenson has no chance in this heavily Democratic state. Hawaii is moving forward for Holland, and polls indicate that it will be by a historic margin.

Idaho (4 electoral votes): Holland has had a healthy lead in the polls, in this typically Republican stronghold, and Dickenson's recent comments about ending support for the Idaho Federal Water Protection District has infuriated many voters here. Idaho voters also strongly disapprove of his opposition to Medicaid expansion and to rural development programs.

Illinois (20 electoral votes): Dickenson had little to hope for in this Democratic bastion, but as with so many other states, his social, economic, and foreign policy positions have united minorities, suburbanites, and rural voters against him. Holland is leading by heavy margins in all polls.

Indiana (11 electoral votes): Not only are Dickenson's opposition to Medicaid expansion and rural development programs hurting him in this typically Republican state, but the weakness of his party organization and the deep unpopularity of Governor Mike Pence are also dragging him down. He has also infuriated the suburbanites around Indianapolis, who do not support his stances on Iran, nuclear weapons control, and Medicare. Holland has a substantial lead here.

Iowa (6 electoral votes): In this overwhelmingly rural state, Dickenson's opposition to farm subsidies, rural development programs, Medicaid expansion, and Social Security have done him in with farmers, elderly voters, and just about everyone else. Holland has a large lead here.

Kansas (6 electoral votes): Kansas is now leaning towards Holland, for very similar reasons as Iowa. Dickenson is behind by a substantial margin here.

Kentucky (8 electoral votes): Although Kentucky voters agree with some of Dickenson's social stances, many of them are also against his views on rural development programs and farm subsidies, and his positions on Medicaid expansion are especially unpopular here. Holland is leading by a comfortable margin in the polls.

Louisiana (8 electoral votes): The opposition of many voters to Dickenson's views on Medicaid expansion and social programs have combined with the united resistance to him displayed by the state's large black electorate. Holland is leading by clear margins in all polls.

Maine (4 electoral votes): Not only are Dickenson's views on Medicaid expansion and social policy killing him here, but his recent comments about ending federal supports for the cod trade have infuriated many voters working within the fishing industries. Holland is leading by a heavy margin.

Maryland (10 electoral votes): The fierce opposition to Dickenson by the state's huge black electorate, and the equally fierce opposition by suburban and rural voters due to his social and economic policy stances have combined to give Holland an overwhelming lead in this Democratic stronghold.